Chance Of: a probability quiz

How likely is it, really? Chance Of shows you a real-world event and you slide to your best guess of the probability. Then the true number is revealed. Play the Daily 5, the same five questions for everyone today, or free mode.

How to play

  1. Read the question, for example the chance of a certain everyday event.
  2. Drag the slider to your guess, from 0% to 100%.
  3. See the real answer and how close you were.
  4. Your accuracy across all rounds is your score. Share your Daily 5 grid.

FAQ

When does the Daily 5 reset?

At midnight in your own time zone, like Wordle.

Where do the answers come from?

Published statistics and studies. Some vary by country, and the reveal notes that where it matters.

Is it free?

Yes. No signup, no download and no app. It runs in your phone or computer browser.

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